Loading football intelligence…
Data-driven football intelligence powered by statistics, probabilistic models and AI.
Every match, a range of possibilities. Explore how the models see the game.
A prediction is only the beginning. Compare the models, understand the assumptions, and see what drives the numbers.
| MODEL | ARS | DRAW | MCI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 28.4% | 30.8% |
| Poisson | 44.8% | 26.4% | 28.8% |
| xG | 43.8% | 27.4% | 28.8% |
| Recent Form | 41.8% | 27.4% | 30.8% |
| NQ EnsembleNQ | 42.8% | 27.4% | 29.8% |
Match events, results and team-level signals.
Quantitative estimates with explicit assumptions.
Multiple perspectives, one probability distribution.
Readable context behind the model outputs.
Accuracy is only part of the story. Model Arena brings methodology, calibration and scoring into one view.
Enter Model ArenaVerified historical performance has not been published.
A closer look at chance quality, beyond the final score.
Read the researchRelative strength, updated one result at a time.
Read the researchWhy the most likely outcome is never the only outcome.
Read the researchA 65% win probability still leaves a 35% chance of a different result. Over many comparable matches, a well-calibrated 65% forecast should win about 65% of the time.
Learn to read probabilitiesNinetyQuant brings statistics, expected goals, team ratings and probability into one analytical framework. Our ambition is to make football intelligence more measurable, transparent and understandable — for fans, analysts and the people building the future of the game.
The NinetyQuant perspective